Our estimates are primarily informed by data published by the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, including the report Household Burglary, 1994–2011. This historical research provides a long-term view of residential burglary patterns in the United States and serves as the foundation for our analysis.

To make this information more relevant to today’s environment, we apply our own analytical assumptions to interpret and combine the most meaningful data points. These adjustments are intended to better reflect broader crime patterns observed in more recent years. The resulting figures are provided strictly for informational purposes—to help illustrate historical trends and encourage awareness—and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for critical security decisions. Additional context regarding our estimation methodology is outlined below.

Understand historical trends. Make informed security decisions.

Estimating burglary risk helps homeowners gain perspective on how frequently residential break-ins have occurred over time and why proactive security planning is important. These estimates are not predictions of individual outcomes, but approximations designed to support awareness and informed thinking about residential security.

The figures presented are derived primarily from long-term burglary data published by the Bureau of Justice Statistics. This historical information is analyzed and interpreted to identify broader patterns, then normalized to represent general residential scenarios in a clear and accessible way. The results reflect statistical trends rather than guarantees.

It is important to understand what this estimate represents—and what it does not. The burglary risk estimate is intended to provide context rather than certainty, offering a high-level view of how common burglaries have been historically and serving as a reference point for understanding relative exposure. It is an educational tool meant to support security awareness, not a personalized risk assessment. Individual factors such as neighborhood conditions, daily routines, and existing security measures are not included in this analysis.

Because the estimates rely on historical data and generalized assumptions, they have inherent limitations. They should not be used to assess immediate or personal threat levels, nor should they replace a professional security evaluation. Actual risk varies widely based on location, lifestyle, and property design. The purpose of this analysis is awareness—not alarm.

Understanding historical burglary trends helps explain why many homeowners choose discreet, high-performance security solutions. Break-ins often exploit perceived vulnerabilities, and delayed response times can increase exposure. Passive security measures that slow or deter intrusion reduce reliance on reaction alone, strengthening overall protection.This estimate is intended as a starting point for thoughtful consideration of residential security—encouraging informed, measured decisions rather than fear-based responses.

Historical insight. Practical awareness. Better preparation.